article thumbnail

How To Predict The Future

Feld Thoughts

Using just two data points, the modem I had in 1986 and the modem I had in 1998, the spreadsheet predicts that I’d have a 25 megabit/second connection in 2012. Open source and crowdsourcing principles are well understood: When you get enough talented people working on a problem, especially in an open way, progress comes quickly.

article thumbnail

Social Networking (the Shorter Version) Past, Present, Future

Both Sides of the Table

asymmetry, real-time, curated RSS / link-sharing]. encouraging an open platform where 3rd parties can make lots of money]. There will be other layers including place information and open-source data. In 1998 the Department of Justice launched an anti-trust case against Microsoft. cheap accessible digital hardware].