How To Predict The Future
Feld Thoughts
JUNE 22, 2012
The same spreadsheet also predicted we’d see a music downloading service in 1999 or 2000. What once cost $20,000 and was produced by skilled researchers in a lab, now costs $500 and is produced by hobbyists working part-time. Step 2: Forecast the linear trend. Nine years later, in February 2005, YouTube arrived.
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