How To Predict The Future
Feld Thoughts
JUNE 22, 2012
The same spreadsheet also predicted we’d see a music downloading service in 1999 or 2000. I plotted the growth in capacity of magnetic platter hard drives and flash drives back in 2006 or so, and saw that flash would overtake magnetic media in 2016. Step 2: Forecast the linear trend. Streaming video had finally made it.
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