How To Predict The Future
Feld Thoughts
JUNE 22, 2012
The same spreadsheet also predicted we’d see a music downloading service in 1999 or 2000. Using just two data points, the modem I had in 1986 and the modem I had in 1998, the spreadsheet predicts that I’d have a 25 megabit/second connection in 2012. Step 2: Forecast the linear trend. Streaming video had finally made it.
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