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How To Predict The Future

Feld Thoughts

The hardware trend showed that internet connection speeds were increasing, and by 2005, the speed of the connection would be sufficient that we could reasonably stream video in real time without resorting to heroic amounts of video compression or miracles in internet protocols. Nine years later, in February 2005, YouTube arrived.

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The Future of Transportation

Feld Thoughts

Between 1991 and 2005, the capacity that could be bought with $100 went up by a factor of 11. The following year, twenty-two of twenty-three entrants in the 2005 Challenge surpassed the 7.3 The trend continues through to the present day. Of the fifteen competitors, not a single one could complete the course.

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It’s Morning in Venture Capital

Both Sides of the Table

Cloud computing and the open source movements have brought down the costs of starting a company by more than 90%. In 1998 there were around 850 VC funds and by 2000 there were 2,300. LP contributions to VC firms shrunk from 2000 and by 2005-2008 had stabilized to around $30 billion per year. The Funding Problem.

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How to Start a Startup

www.paulgraham.com

March 2005 (This essay is derived from a talk at the Harvard ComputerSociety.) But this is just the kindthat tends to be open source: operating systems, programminglanguages, editors, and so on. Back in 1998 our CFOtried to talk me into it. Surely 1998 was a little late to arrive at the party.

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