Feld Thoughts

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How To Predict The Future

Feld Thoughts

The hardware trend showed that internet connection speeds were increasing, and by 2005, the speed of the connection would be sufficient that we could reasonably stream video in real time without resorting to heroic amounts of video compression or miracles in internet protocols. Nine years later, in February 2005, YouTube arrived.

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Accelerating Technology Change and Continuous Learning

Feld Thoughts

Every time you build your application, you are likely to have some new bugs or incompatibilities related to a change in the language or the libraries (especially open source libraries). From 1981, when the IBM PC was introduced, until about 2005, one could expect a personal computer system to have a lifespan of 3-5 years.

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The Future of Transportation

Feld Thoughts

Between 1991 and 2005, the capacity that could be bought with $100 went up by a factor of 11. The following year, twenty-two of twenty-three entrants in the 2005 Challenge surpassed the 7.3 The trend continues through to the present day. Of the fifteen competitors, not a single one could complete the course.