Agile VC

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Groupon's S-1: From Zero to Like? Billions in 30 Months ? AGILEVC

Agile VC

Founding Date: 2009. Revenue Growth: 2241% YoY (2010 vs 2009), 1357% YOY (Q1 2011 vs Q1 2010). Gross Profit Margins: 42% (Q1 2011), 39% (2010), 36% (2009) –> i.e. for every $1 of Groupons sold, the company currently keeps $0.42 Cumulative customers (unique buyers of Groupons): 15.8M (Q1 2011), 9.0M (2010), 0.4M (2009).

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Cliff Notes S-1: Kayak ? AGILEVC

Agile VC

Revenue growth: 51% YoY (2010), 1% YoY (2009), 131% YoY (2008). Historically more revenue came from distribution/lead-gen (57% in 2007), but this tipped in 2008 though appears to be steady from 2009 to 2010 at about 58% advertising and 42% distribution. Financial Snapshot: 2010 Revenue: $170 million. 2010 Net Income: $8 million.

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Denouement

Agile VC

2009-2011: Retrenchment. Aggregate VC investment in 2009 hits a low of roughly $20B, a figure last seen in 2003 in the wake of the bursting of the dotcom and telecom bubble and 2001 recession. Uber is founded and AirBnB goes through YC in 2009. We’re only a few months past Sequoia’s famous “R.I.P.

IPO 100
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There Is No Subprime Model for VC

Agile VC

Note 1: Readers may feel that the subprime mortgage collapse which led to the financial crisis of 2008-2009 implies that subprime lending does not indeed work. So “matters” is relative and while there aren’t hundreds of startup outcomes per year that “matter” there are probably many dozens.

Valuation 200
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The VC Shakeout: Are We There Yet?

Agile VC

The reality is that it wasn’t until the GEC (Global Economic Crisis, Great Recession, Credit Crunch, call it what you will) of late 2008 and early 2009 that the shakeout really began for venture capital. This is when LPs started pulling back and VCs who didn’t have emerging winners in their portfolio started to struggle.

LP 154