VC Cafe

JANUARY 24, 2021

“It follows that the goal of forecasting is not to see what’s coming. It is to advance the interests of the forecaster and the forecaster’s tribe.” Streaming, gaming, ecommerce increased adoption rapidly, advancing 10 years in the space of a few months. PHILIP TETLOCK, SUPERFORECASTING: THE ART AND SCIENCE OF PREDICTION.

Technical Review 207

Technical Review Audio Forecast Social Media 207

Both Sides of the Table

AUGUST 28, 2009

Goldman Sachs (an investor in our company) told us we’d IPO within 18 months for $1 billion so not to take any offers. As the economy soured and people grew wary of buying Internet software (we were SaaS as early as 1999 – our buyers were certainly “early adopters&# ) and life grew more difficult. We were hot.

PR 331

PR Software Review Ireland Germany 331

abovethecrowd.com

JULY 10, 2014

Consider the following example from 34 years ago that included the exact same type of prediction error: “In 1980, McKinsey & Company was commissioned by AT&T (whose Bell Labs had invented cellular telephony) to forecast cell phone penetration in the U.S.

San Francisco 111

San Francisco San Jose Marketing Technical Review 111

Occam's Razor

OCTOBER 14, 2014

If you want to learn about how to do simple forecasting and trend analysis, please see the official forecast function in Excel post on the Microsoft website, and this handy tutorial on trend lines and forecasting in excel. Clean measures of conversion rates require a clean and standard implementation of the ecommerce tags.

Analytics 133

Analytics Vertical Metrics Web 133