Remove 2000 Remove Forecast Remove New York Remove New York City
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How To Predict The Future

Feld Thoughts

The same spreadsheet also predicted we’d see a music downloading service in 1999 or 2000. But it’s hard to say, even with hindsight, that we could have predicted Wikipedia, let alone forecast when it would occur. (If Step 2: Forecast the linear trend. Read Gotham: The History of New York City to 1898.)

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How to Miss By a Mile: An Alternative Look at Uber’s Potential Market Size

abovethecrowd.com

Consider the following example from 34 years ago that included the exact same type of prediction error: “In 1980, McKinsey & Company was commissioned by AT&T (whose Bell Labs had invented cellular telephony) to forecast cell phone penetration in the U.S. Transporting kids.

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Out of the Crisis #4: Carl Liebert, crisis veteran and radical optimist

Startup Lessons Learned

44:25) Parallels between the pandemic and previous crises, and Carl's thoughts on some of the new norms that will arise. (45:28) We have to act quickly and decisively to set ourselves up for where we want to be as an organization, but also as a society in that new normal. Stanley McChrystal's Team of Teams. (29:34) Yes, we’d like that.

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Out of the Crisis #7, Brian Chesky Part 1: running Airbnb in crisis mode, being multi-stakeholder, and re-founding the company

Startup Lessons Learned

Brian Chesky : And I've lived in cities for much of my life and when you're around people a lot, they kind of become ubiquitous and you kind of take it for granted and you don't really want to deal with people. I'm from New York, upstate New York. But you go to New York City and people just kind of.