How To Predict The Future
Feld Thoughts
JUNE 22, 2012
The same spreadsheet also predicted we’d see a music downloading service in 1999 or 2000. But it’s hard to say, even with hindsight, that we could have predicted Wikipedia, let alone forecast when it would occur. (If Step 2: Forecast the linear trend. Read Gotham: The History of New York City to 1898.)
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